Los Angeles Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani Walks

Stats updated: Sep 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 0.5 BB in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: Japan
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

pays more

PrizePicksWalks · season avg 0.6 BB · PrizePicks line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

Injured ListShohei Ohtani isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Biceps Inflammation
Est. return:: Sep 23, 2026

Manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Ohtani still has a few hurdles to clear after spending the past couple of weeks on the IL, per Katie Woo of The Athletic, but the Dodgers skipper anticipates that Ohtani will be cleared to resume working as the team's primary designated hitter Wednesday against the Padres. He isn't expected to make another appearance as a pitcher in the regular season or postseason, however.

Verdict

vs 0.5 BBWalks

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it

Projection vs line63supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.7 BB(×1.01 context)

L5 0.6 · L10 0.5 · med 0.5

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Open this line on PrizePicks→

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2020 games

45%over

9 over · 11 under

Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%

Season129 games

47%over

60 over · 69 under

High confidence95% CI 38%–55%

Alternate lines — Walks (BB)

BB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	47%	60/129
	14%	18/129
	2%	2/129
	0%	0/129

Last 20 games — BB per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home51%31/61High

Away43%29/68High

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)46%46/99High

1 day48%11/23Medium

2 days50%1/2Low

3+ days33%1/3Low

With a teammate out

How this BB line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Dalton Rushing out · Right Elbow Soreness

Without (64g)

0.6 BB

45% over 0.5

With (65g)

0.6 BB

48% over 0.5

Next matchup — vs SD

Sep 23, 2026

15thof 30 in BB allowed to hitters

SD pitching allows 3.4 BB per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 156 games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Shohei Ohtani has gone over 0.5 BB 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. SD has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 15th-most BB of 30 teams (3.4 per game). His game-to-game BB have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles Dodgers

neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.08)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.