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Washington WizardsAnthony Davis
#23 · F-C · 6-10 · 253 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2012 · Rd 1, Pick 1
- College
- Kentucky
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 23.8 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm Anthony Davis's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Left Finger Sprain
Davis (finger) remains a cornerstone of Washington's frontcourt and should continue operating as the team's primary interior presence. However, the additions of Dybantsa and Trae Young could slightly reduce Davis' offensive workload while improving the overall quality of his scoring opportunities. Assuming he stays healthy, and that's a big assumption, Davis still projects as one of the league's most productive fantasy big men.
Verdict
vs 24.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 9/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency58neutral
Projection
23.1 PTS(×1.01 context)
L5 22.0 · L10 23.4 · med 24.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 19.4 · ceil 26.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 24.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 25% | 3/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 |
Situational splits
Over 24.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day60%3/5Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days0%0/3Low
Last matchup — @ UTA
Jan 8, 2026
15thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
UTA allows 13.8 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 165 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Anthony Davis has gone over 24.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. UTA has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 15th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.