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Washington WizardsAnthony Davis
#23 · F-C · 6-10 · 253 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2012 · Rd 1, Pick 1
- College
- Kentucky
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 23.8 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 24.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 11/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency58neutral
Projection
23.1 PTS(×1.01 context)
L5 22.0 · L10 23.4 · med 24.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 19.4 · ceil 26.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 24.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 25% | 3/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 |
Situational splits
Over 24.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day60%3/5Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days0%0/3Low
Last matchup — @ UTA
Jan 8, 2026
15thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
UTA allows 13.8 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 165 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Anthony Davis has gone over 24.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. UTA has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 15th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.