LA Clippers

Bradley Beal Rebounds

Stats updated: Nov 8, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Bradley Beal has gone over 0.5 REB in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2012 · Rd 1, Pick 3
College: Florida
Country: USA
Experience: 15 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRebounds · season avg 1.0 REB · our line

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OutBradley Beal isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee Inflammation
Est. return:: Nov 29, 2026

Beal is dealing with knee inflammation that will keep him sidelined for Opening Night. While it's unclear how long the Clippers will be without the veteran guard, Darius Garland, Keaton Wagler and Kris Dunn should dominate the backcourt minutes in his absence. Beal's 2025-26 campaign was cut short by a hip injury after he averaged 8.2 points and 1.7 assists in 20.6 minutes across just six regular-season appearances.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REBRebounds

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 65% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line65supports it

Consistency100supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

1.0 REB(×1.00 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)

REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — REB per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Next matchup — vs NOP

Nov 9, 2026

22ndof 30 in REB allowed to guards

NOP allows 3.2 REB per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 27 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Bradley Beal has gone over 0.5 REB 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NOP has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 22nd-most REB of 30 teams (3.2 per game). His game-to-game REB have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.