Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace Blocks

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Cason Wallace has gone over 0.5 BLK in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2023 · Rd 1, Pick 10
College: Kentucky
Country: USA
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksBlocks · season avg 0.7 BLK · our line

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OutCason Wallace isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Shoulder Surgery
Est. return:: Mar 2, 2027

Wallace is expected to miss most, if not all, of the season. However, there's still a chance he will return late in the campaign after sustaining the shoulder injury in Sunday's win over the Clippers. With Jalen Williams (leg) also set to be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Alex Caruso (ankle) should see significant playing time once cleared to return. In the meantime, Jared McCain, Bennett Stirtz and Josh Dix are expected to see increased burn.

Verdict

vs 0.5 BLKBlocks

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 40% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral

Projection vs line40argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.4 BLK(×0.90 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.6 · med 0.5

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2013 games

54%over

7 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%

Season13 games

54%over

7 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%

Alternate lines — Blocks (BLK)

BLK over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLK line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	54%	7/13
	15%	2/13
	0%	0/13
	0%	0/13

Last 13 games — BLK per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BLK by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home29%2/7Low

Away83%5/6Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low

1 day75%3/4Low

2 days25%1/4Low

3+ days50%1/2Low

Last matchup — vs DEN

Oct 22, 2026

28thof 30 in BLK allowed to guards

DEN allows 0.2 BLK per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 35 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Cason Wallace has gone over 0.5 BLK 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 54% across the full season. DEN has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 28th-most BLK of 30 teams (0.2 per game). His game-to-game BLK have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.