
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
De'Andre Hunter has gone over 1.5 TOV in 5 of his last 6 decided games (83%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Hunter is a late addition to the injury report. If he doesn't suit up Friday, Malik Monk and Leaky Black should soak up more playing time for the Kings.
Scored against this payout variant's ~65% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 5/6 | ||
| 1.5Current | 83% | 5/6 | |
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 0% | 0/6 | ||
| 0% | 0/6 |
Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
SAS allows 1.2 TOV per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
ToughOver his last 6 games, De'Andre Hunter has gone over 1.5 TOV 5 of 6 decided times (83%) — versus 83% across the full season. SAS has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 28th-most TOV of 30 teams (1.2 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 83%.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Assists hit rates and trends.
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Steals hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.