Cleveland Cavaliers

Dennis Schröder Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Apr 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Dennis Schröder has gone over 26.5 FS in 3 of his last 9 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2013 · Rd 1, Pick 17
College: Braunschweig
Country: Germany
Experience: 13 seasons

Line

Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 27.3 FS

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Verdict

vs 26.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 56% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)49neutral

Projection vs line56neutral

Consistency44neutral

Projection

29.0 FS(×1.02 context)

L5 27.3 · L10 25.9 · med 24.2

Consistency

Variable

floor 17.6 · ceil 35.9

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

25%over

1 over · 3 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%

Last 1010 games

33%over

3 over · 6 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 12%–65%

Last 2020 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under · 1 push

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Season36 games

51%over

18 over · 17 under · 1 push

Medium confidence95% CI 36%–67%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	61%	22/36
	57%	20/35
	53%	19/36
26.5Current	51%	18/35
	49%	17/35
	44%	16/36
	40%	14/35

Last 20 games — FS per game vs. line 26.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 26.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home62%8/13Low

Away45%10/22Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)20%1/5Low

1 day59%10/17Medium

2 days67%2/3Low

3+ days44%4/9Low

Last matchup — @ MEM

Apr 6, 2026

6thof 30 in FS allowed to guards

MEM allows 27.9 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 226 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Dennis Schröder has gone over 26.5 FS 3 of 9 decided times (33%) — versus 51% across the full season. MEM has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 6th-most FS of 30 teams (27.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 9.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.