Cleveland Cavaliers

Dennis Schröder Turnovers

Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Dennis Schröder has gone over 2.5 TOV in 4 of his last 6 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2013 · Rd 1, Pick 17
College: Braunschweig
Country: Germany
Experience: 14 seasons

Line

pays less

PrizePicksTurnovers · season avg 3.0 TOV · PrizePicks line

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OutDennis Schröder isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Hamstring Strain
Est. return:: Nov 25, 2026

Schroder, who missed Friday's game due to what was described as a left thigh injury, has been diagnosed with a hamstring strain. He is set to be reevaluated in two weeks, suggesting he will miss at least the next five games. Christian Anderson and Sion James could see extra minutes with Schroder sidelined.

Verdict

vs 2.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 53% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral

Projection vs line38argues against it

Consistency9argues against it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

2.7 TOV(×0.88 context)

L5 3.0 · L10 3.0 · med 3.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 2.0 · ceil 4.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 106 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Last 206 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Season6 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	83%	5/6
	83%	5/6
2.5Current	67%	4/6
	50%	3/6
	17%	1/6
	0%	0/6

Last 6 games — TOV per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day33%1/3Low

2 days100%1/1Low

With a teammate out

How this TOV line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Jaylon Tyson out · Right Ankle Sprain

Without (3g)

3.0 TOV

67% over 2.5

With (3g)

3.0 TOV

67% over 2.5

Next matchup — @ CHA

Nov 10, 2026

29thof 30 in TOV allowed to guards

CHA allows 1.1 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 41 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 6 games, Dennis Schröder has gone over 2.5 TOV 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. CHA has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 29th-most TOV of 30 teams (1.1 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.