
Stats updated: Nov 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Devin Vassell has gone over 24.5 FS in 4 of his last 6 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Vassell could miss his first game this season. If he is unable to go, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson and Carter Bryant could see extra minutes.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 24.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
PHX allows 20.5 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 33 player-games
ToughOver his last 6 games, Devin Vassell has gone over 24.5 FS 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. PHX has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 30th-most FS of 30 teams (20.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.
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Rebounds hit rates and trends.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.