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Minnesota TimberwolvesDonte DiVincenzo Steals
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Donte DiVincenzo has gone over 1.5 STL in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2018 · Rd 1, Pick 17
- College
- Villanova
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Steals · season avg 1.3 STL · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDonte DiVincenzo isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Achilles Surgery
- Est. return:
- Apr 2, 2027
DiVincenzo is approaching six months since tearing his right Achilles during the first round of the playoffs and has been rehabbing with the expectation that he'll play at some point this season. The veteran guard has sought advice from Jayson Tatum, Tyrese Haliburton and Damian Lillard during his recovery, though Minnesota has yet to establish a timetable for his return.
Verdict
vs 1.5 STLStealsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)96supports it
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
0.9 STL(×1.01 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.7 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2020 games
30%over
6 over · 14 under
Medium confidence95% CI 15%–52%Season58 games
36%over
21 over · 37 under
High confidence95% CI 25%–49%Alternate lines — Steals (STL)
STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 45/58 | ||
| 1.5Current | 36% | 21/58 | |
| 9% | 5/58 | ||
| 3% | 2/58 | ||
| 0% | 0/58 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home36%10/28Medium
Away37%11/30Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)29%2/7Low
1 day45%10/22Medium
2 days33%5/15Medium
3+ days31%4/13Medium
Next matchup — vs UTA
Nov 9, 2026
1stof 30 in STL allowed to guards
UTA allows 1.4 STL per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 30 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Donte DiVincenzo has gone over 1.5 STL 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 36% across the full season. UTA has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 1st-most STL of 30 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.
More Donte DiVincenzo research
Donte DiVincenzo — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
DiVincenzo Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
DiVincenzo Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
DiVincenzo 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
DiVincenzo Blocks→
Blocks hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.