Duop Reath Assists

Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Duop Reath has gone over 0.5 AST in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Louisiana State
Country: South Sudan
Experience: 3 seasons

Verdict

vs 0.5 ASTAssists

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 64% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it

Projection vs line64supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.5 AST(×0.90 context)

L5 0.4 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2014 games

43%over

6 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–67%

Season14 games

43%over

6 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–67%

Alternate lines — Assists (AST)

AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate AST line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	43%	6/14
	14%	2/14
	0%	0/14
	0%	0/14

Last 14 games — AST per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home40%2/5Low

Away44%4/9Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day25%1/4Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days43%3/7Low

Last matchup — @ SAC

Jan 18, 2026

19thof 30 in AST allowed to centers

SAC allows 2.2 AST per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 59 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Duop Reath has gone over 0.5 AST 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 43% across the full season. SAC has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 19th-most AST of 30 teams (2.2 per game). His game-to-game AST have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.