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Sacramento KingsDylan Cardwell
#32 · C · 6-10 · 255 lb · 26 games
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Auburn
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 6.6 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 6.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 14/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)77supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency14argues against it
Projection
7.3 PTS(×1.00 context)
L5 8.4 · L10 8.1 · med 6.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 4.0 · ceil 8.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season26 games
38%over
10 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–57%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 23/26 | ||
| 69% | 18/26 | ||
| 62% | 16/26 | ||
| 6.5Current | 38% | 10/26 | |
| 31% | 8/26 | ||
| 19% | 5/26 | ||
| 15% | 4/26 |
Situational splits
Over 6.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%6/15Medium
Away36%4/11Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%2/4Low
1 day36%4/11Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days25%2/8Low
Last matchup — @ POR
Apr 12, 2026
1stof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
POR allows 16.4 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 55 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dylan Cardwell has gone over 6.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 38% across the full season. POR has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 1st-most PTS of 30 teams (16.4 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.