
#23 · F · 6-8 · 205 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Jackson played through the groin issue in Wednesday's 117-116 loss to the Heat, but logged a season-low 13 minutes, suggesting the injury was bothering him. For now, Jackson should be considered questionable for Tuesday's game in Phoenix. Baba Miller will serve as the backup center with Jackson sidelined Sunday.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 8.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
NOP allows 13.6 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
FavorableOver his last 6 games, Isaiah Jackson has gone over 8.5 PTS 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. NOP has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 6th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Our model puts the over at 75.5% vs the market's no-vig 51.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (8.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.