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Detroit PistonsIsaiah Stewart
#28 · F-C · 6-8 · 250 lb · 11 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 8 of these 11 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2020 · Rd 1, Pick 16
- College
- Washington
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 12.6 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutIsaiah Stewart isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee Bruise
- Est. return:
- Nov 11, 2026
Stewart will miss a second consecutive contest due to a right knee bone bruise, and his next chance to play will come Wednesday against Denver. With the big man sidelined, Quinten Post will likely see increased minutes.
Verdict
vs 13.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 48% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency28argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
14.5 PTS(×1.04 context)
L5 14.8 · L10 12.4 · med 13.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.0 · ceil 15.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2011 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season11 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 13.5Current | 45% | 5/11 | |
| 27% | 3/11 | ||
| 18% | 2/11 | ||
| 18% | 2/11 |
Situational splits
Over 13.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day40%2/5Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
Next matchup — vs WAS
Nov 10, 2026
14thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
WAS allows 13.0 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 26 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Isaiah Stewart has gone over 13.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 45% across the full season. WAS has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 14th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.0 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.