Philadelphia 76ers

Jabari Walker Assists

Stats updated: Oct 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jabari Walker has gone over 1.5 AST in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2022 · Rd 2, Pick 57
College: Colorado
Country: USA
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksAssists · season avg 1.2 AST · our line

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OutJabari Walker isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Knee Soreness
Est. return:: Oct 28, 2026

It was reported after Saturday's win over the Bucks that Walker exited the contest early due to a right knee injury, though he's now listed on the injury report with left knee soreness. With the 24-year-old sidelined, Dean Wade and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope may see increased minutes, while Justin Edwards could enter the rotation.

Verdict

vs 1.5 ASTAssists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 67% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)82supports it

Projection vs line67supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.0 AST(×0.99 context)

L5 0.8 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Season10 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Alternate lines — Assists (AST)

AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate AST line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	70%	7/10
1.5Current	40%	4/10
	10%	1/10
	0%	0/10
	0%	0/10

Last 10 games — AST per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home25%1/4Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

1 day50%1/2Low

2 days33%1/3Low

3+ days25%1/4Low

Last matchup — vs MIL

Oct 24, 2026

21stof 30 in AST allowed to forwards

MIL allows 1.8 AST per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 15 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Jabari Walker has gone over 1.5 AST 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. MIL has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 21st-most AST of 30 teams (1.8 per game). His game-to-game AST have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.