Cleveland Cavaliers

Jaylon Tyson Turnovers

Stats updated: Oct 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jaylon Tyson has gone over 1.5 TOV in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2024 · Rd 1, Pick 20
College: California
Country: USA
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

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PrizePicksTurnovers · season avg 1.4 TOV · PrizePicks line

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OutJaylon Tyson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Ankle Sprain
Est. return:: Nov 9, 2026

Tyson continues to recover from a sprained right ankle, and he'll miss the second leg of this back-to-back set after not playing Friday against Philadelphia. His next chance to play will come Monday at Charlotte. This means Mario Hezonja, Tyrese Proctor and Meleek Thomas could be in line for more playing time as long as Tyson remains out.

Verdict

vs 1.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 43% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)65supports it

Projection vs line58neutral

Consistency42neutral

Matchup50neutral

Projection

1.5 TOV(×1.03 context)

L5 1.4 · L10 1.4 · med 1.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 2.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 105 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 205 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Season5 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	5/5
1.5Current	40%	2/5
	0%	0/5
	0%	0/5
	0%	0/5

Last 5 games — TOV per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home33%1/3Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

1 day50%1/2Low

3+ days50%1/2Low

Next matchup — vs NYK

Nov 8, 2026

16thof 30 in TOV allowed to guards

NYK allows 1.6 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 31 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 5 games, Jaylon Tyson has gone over 1.5 TOV 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NYK has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 16th-most TOV of 30 teams (1.6 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.