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Boston CelticsJayson Tatum
#0 · F-G · 6-8 · 210 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Apr 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2017 · Rd 1, Pick 3
- College
- Duke
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 23.3 PTS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Points (PTS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm Jayson Tatum's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Left Knee Soreness
While George remains an effective two-way wing, he's unlikely to command the same offensive workload as Brown at this stage of his career, potentially leading to even greater scoring and playmaking responsibilities for Tatum. Assuming he returns to full health, Tatum has a legitimate path to career-best usage in 2026-27.
Verdict
vs 26.5 PTSPointsCold underFireFactor 75/100· model 80% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line80supports it
Consistency84supports it
Projection
23.7 PTS(×1.01 context)
L5 24.2 · L10 23.3 · med 23.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 23.0 · ceil 25.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 106 games
0%over
0 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%Last 206 games
0%over
0 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%Season6 games
0%over
0 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%Situational splits
Over 26.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/4Low
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/3Low
3+ days0%0/2Low
Last matchup — @ NYK
Apr 9, 2026
21stof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
NYK allows 13.6 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 172 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Jayson Tatum has gone over 26.5 PTS 0 of 6 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. NYK has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 21st-most PTS of 30 teams (13.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 2.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.