New Orleans Pelicans

Jordan Poole Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Oct 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jordan Poole has gone over 17.5 PRA in 4 of his last 9 decided games (44%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2019 · Rd 1, Pick 28
College: Michigan
Country: USA
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 20.4 PRA · our line

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Game-Time DecisionJordan Poole isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Ankle Sprain
Est. return:: Nov 4, 2026

Poole is expected to return from a three-game layoff for the meeting with the Jazz on Wednesday. The 27-year-old hasn't had a memorable 2026-27 campaign thus far, averaging 6.0 points, 2.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.3 steals across 16.0 minutes per contest. If Poole is cleared for action, it would likely mean fewer minutes for Bryce McGowens and Trendon Watford.

Verdict

vs 17.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)70supports it

Projection vs line39argues against it

Consistency28argues against it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

21.4 PRA(×1.12 context)

L5 20.4 · L10 20.4 · med 17.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 14.8 · ceil 25.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 109 games

44%over

4 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%

Last 209 games

44%over

4 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%

Season9 games

44%over

4 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	78%	7/9
	78%	7/9
	56%	5/9
17.5Current	44%	4/9
	44%	4/9
	44%	4/9
	33%	3/9

Last 9 games — PRA per game vs. line 17.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 17.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home60%3/5Low

Away25%1/4Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

2 days50%1/2Low

3+ days50%2/4Low

Next matchup — vs UTA

Nov 5, 2026

9thof 30 in PRA allowed to guards

UTA allows 19.8 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 25 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 9 games, Jordan Poole has gone over 17.5 PRA 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. UTA has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 9th-most PRA of 30 teams (19.8 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 8.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.