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New York KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C-F · 7-0 · 248 lb · 52 games
Stats updated: Apr 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2015 · Rd 1, Pick 1
- College
- Kentucky
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 21.7 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 21.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)49neutral
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency42neutral
Projection
20.0 PTS(×0.97 context)
L5 19.2 · L10 21.6 · med 21.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 15.0 · ceil 25.8
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season52 games
50%over
26 over · 26 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–63%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 35/52 | ||
| 63% | 33/52 | ||
| 58% | 30/52 | ||
| 21.5Current | 50% | 26/52 | |
| 33% | 17/52 | ||
| 29% | 15/52 | ||
| 25% | 13/52 |
Situational splits
Over 21.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home54%14/26Medium
Away46%12/26Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)71%5/7Low
1 day48%10/21Medium
2 days83%5/6Low
3+ days35%6/17Medium
Last matchup — vs TOR
Apr 10, 2026
28thof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
TOR allows 11.3 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 72 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Karl-Anthony Towns has gone over 21.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. TOR has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 28th-most PTS of 30 teams (11.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.