
Stats updated: Oct 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kawhi Leonard has gone over 0.5 BLK in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
Leonard will now begin the next phase of his rehab, and while he'll be re-evaluated by Nov. 10, it's still unlikely we'll see him back on the floor until the end of November. Ja'Kobe Walter should continue to start while Leonard is sidelined, and it'll be Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett running the show on offense.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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BLK over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 25% | 3/12 | |
| 0% | 0/12 | ||
| 0% | 0/12 | ||
| 0% | 0/12 |
Over 0.5 BLK by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
NOP allows 0.7 BLK per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
FavorableOver his last 10 games, Kawhi Leonard has gone over 0.5 BLK 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 25% across the full season. NOP has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 7th-most BLK of 30 teams (0.7 per game). His game-to-game BLK have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 25%.
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Rebounds hit rates and trends.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.