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Sacramento KingsKeegan Murray Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Oct 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Keegan Murray has gone over 21.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2022 · Rd 1, Pick 4
- College
- Iowa
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 20.6 PRA · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKeegan Murray isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Ankle
- Est. return:
- Nov 10, 2026
Murray has officially been diagnosed with left ankle capsulitis, and he's set to miss at least the next 10 days. Precious Achiuwa has been starting in Murray's absence, and he should continue to see opportunities along with De'Andre Hunter and Daeqwon Plowden.
Verdict
vs 21.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 73% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line73supports it
Consistency46neutral
Matchup50neutral
Projection
14.9 PRA(×0.83 context)
L5 17.2 · L10 20.4 · med 20.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 15.6 · ceil 24.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 21.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 29% | 4/14 | ||
| 21% | 3/14 |
Situational splits
Over 21.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away38%3/8Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day40%2/5Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — vs SAS
Nov 7, 2026
16thof 30 in PRA allowed to forwards
SAS allows 20.1 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Keegan Murray has gone over 21.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SAS has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 16th-most PRA of 30 teams (20.1 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Keegan Murray research
Keegan Murray — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Murray Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Murray Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Murray 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Murray Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.