Atlanta Hawks

Keshon Gilbert Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Keshon Gilbert has gone over 20.5 FS in 1 of his last 2 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Iowa State
Country: USA
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 20.6 FS · our line

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Game-Time DecisionConfirm Keshon Gilbert's status before the game.

Injury:: Hip

A hip injury cost Gilbert his final three games in Las Vegas. In his one appearance for the Hawks at Summer League, he finished with 10 points, five rebounds, five assists and two steals in 20 minutes off the bench.

Verdict

vs 20.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 5/100· model 52% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral

Projection vs line52neutral

Consistency60neutral

Projection

20.8 FS

L5 20.6 · L10 20.6 · med 20.6

Consistency

Steady

floor 17.6 · ceil 23.5

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 52 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 102 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 202 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Season2 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
20.5Current	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2

Last 2 games — FS per game vs. line 20.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 20.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%1/1Low

Last matchup — @ MIA

Apr 12, 2026

3rdof 30 in FS allowed to guards

MIA allows 28.2 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 219 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 2 games, Keshon Gilbert has gone over 20.5 FS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. MIA has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 3rd-most FS of 30 teams (28.2 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.