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Charlotte HornetsKon Knueppel
#7 · G-F · 6-6 · 215 lb · 14 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 14 of these 14 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2025 · Rd 1, Pick 4
- College
- Duke
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 17.1 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKon Knueppel isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Dec 12, 2026
Knueppel missed the first eight games of the 2026-27 campaign. He returned for the 114-104 loss to Brooklyn on Wednesday, though he exited the contest after just six minutes of work and didn't return. With Knueppel out of commission for at least a month, Grayson Allen and Sion James are candidates to replace him in the starting lineup, especially with Dennis Schroder (hamstring) sidelined for a minimum of two weeks.
Verdict
vs 14.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency46neutral
Matchup100supports it
Projection
14.8 PTS(×0.99 context)
L5 13.6 · L10 15.8 · med 13.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.2 · ceil 21.6
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2014 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Season14 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 14.5Current | 57% | 8/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 |
Situational splits
Over 14.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home57%4/7Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)67%2/3Low
1 day33%2/6Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days100%2/2Low
Next matchup — vs CLE
Nov 10, 2026
6thof 30 in PTS allowed to guards
CLE allows 13.6 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 46 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kon Knueppel has gone over 14.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 57% across the full season. CLE has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 6th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.