Los Angeles Lakers

Luke Kennard Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Luke Kennard has gone over 20.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2017 · Rd 1, Pick 12
College: Duke
Country: USA
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 22.1 FS

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Verdict

vs 20.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 9/100· model 69% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral

Projection vs line69supports it

Consistency27argues against it

Projection

30.5 FS(×1.10 context)

L5 30.1 · L10 25.1 · med 21.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 12.7 · ceil 28.7

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2020 games

55%over

11 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%

Season25 games

52%over

13 over · 12 under

Medium confidence95% CI 33%–70%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	56%	14/25
	52%	13/25
	52%	13/25
20.5Current	52%	13/25
	44%	11/25
	44%	11/25
	40%	10/25

Last 20 games — FS per game vs. line 20.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 20.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home45%5/11Low

Away57%8/14Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%3/3Low

1 day29%2/7Low

2 days100%1/1Low

3+ days54%7/13Low

Last matchup — vs PHX

Apr 10, 2026

30thof 30 in FS allowed to guards

PHX allows 24.6 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 228 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Luke Kennard has gone over 20.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 52% across the full season. PHX has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 30th-most FS of 30 teams (24.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 9.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.