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Charlotte HornetsMiles Bridges Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Miles Bridges has gone over 35.5 FS in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2018 · Rd 1, Pick 12
- College
- Michigan State
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 33.8 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 35.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 6/100· model 42% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)46neutral
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency50neutral
Projection
30.7 FS(×0.94 context)
L5 31.7 · L10 28.8 · med 28.6
Consistency
Steady
floor 24.0 · ceil 43.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
35%over
7 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%Season55 games
51%over
28 over · 27 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–64%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 33/55 | ||
| 58% | 32/55 | ||
| 53% | 29/55 | ||
| 35.5Current | 51% | 28/55 | |
| 47% | 26/55 | ||
| 42% | 23/55 | ||
| 33% | 18/54 |
Situational splits
Over 35.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%12/24Medium
Away52%16/31Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)60%6/10Low
1 day50%11/22Medium
2 days55%6/11Low
3+ days36%4/11Low
Last matchup — @ BOS
Apr 7, 2026
29thof 30 in FS allowed to forwards
BOS allows 25.5 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 158 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Miles Bridges has gone over 35.5 FS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 51% across the full season. BOS has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 29th-most FS of 30 teams (25.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 10.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.
More Miles Bridges research
Miles Bridges — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Bridges Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Bridges Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Bridges 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Bridges Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.