
Stats updated: Nov 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Mitchell Robinson has gone over 13.5 PRA in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 10/11 | ||
| 82% | 9/11 | ||
| 73% | 8/11 | ||
| 13.5Current | 64% | 7/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 |
Over 13.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
MIL allows 21.5 PRA per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 11 player-games
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has gone over 13.5 PRA 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 64% across the full season. MIL has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 12th-most PRA of 30 teams (21.5 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Our model puts the over at 57.1% vs the market's no-vig 53.1%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (13.5 PRA). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.