Golden State Warriors

Moses Moody Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Mar 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Moses Moody has gone over 20.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2021 · Rd 1, Pick 14
College: Arkansas
Country: USA
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 22.4 PRA · our line

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OutMoses Moody isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Knee Surgery
Est. return:: Dec 1, 2026

Moody has been limited to individual court work, but team sources indicate he's ahead of Jimmy Butler (knee) in the rehabilitation process and is expected to return before the veteran forward. The 24-year-old still has several recovery checkpoints to complete, and Golden State has not established an official timetable. His eventual return would help replenish a Warriors wing rotation that will open the season without both Moody and Butler.

Verdict

vs 20.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral

Projection vs line62supports it

Consistency37argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

25.7 PRA(×1.04 context)

L5 27.4 · L10 22.8 · med 21.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 15.8 · ceil 31.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2020 games

50%over

10 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%

Season20 games

50%over

10 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	65%	13/20
	60%	12/20
	50%	10/20
20.5Current	50%	10/20
	45%	9/20
	45%	9/20
	40%	8/20

Last 20 games — PRA per game vs. line 20.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 20.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home56%5/9Low

Away45%5/11Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day60%3/5Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days50%5/10Low

Next matchup — vs MIA

Nov 6, 2026

4thof 30 in PRA allowed to guards

MIA allows 20.9 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 31 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Moses Moody has gone over 20.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. MIA has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 4th-most PRA of 30 teams (20.9 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 8.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

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Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.