Brooklyn Nets

Ochai Agbaji Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Apr 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Ochai Agbaji has gone over 12.5 PRA in 7 of his last 10 decided games (70%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2022 · Rd 1, Pick 14
College: Kansas
Country: USA
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 12.5 PRA

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Verdict

vs 12.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 53% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral

Projection vs line53neutral

Consistency44neutral

Projection

13.8 PRA(×0.97 context)

L5 14.0 · L10 14.8 · med 13.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 8.0 · ceil 15.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

70%over

7 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%

Last 2020 games

55%over

11 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%

Season29 games

45%over

13 over · 16 under

Medium confidence95% CI 28%–62%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	76%	22/29
	69%	20/29
	55%	16/29
12.5Current	45%	13/29
	34%	10/29
	28%	8/29
	21%	6/29

Last 20 games — PRA per game vs. line 12.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 12.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home77%10/13Medium

Away19%3/16Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day55%6/11Low

2 days33%1/3Low

3+ days42%5/12Low

Last matchup — vs WAS

Apr 5, 2026

28thof 30 in PRA allowed to guards

WAS allows 20.2 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 223 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Ochai Agbaji has gone over 12.5 PRA 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 45% across the full season. WAS has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 28th-most PRA of 30 teams (20.2 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

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Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.