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Charlotte HornetsTre Mann
#23 · G · 6-4 · 178 lb · 33 games
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2021 · Rd 1, Pick 18
- College
- Florida
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 7.7 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 59% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
5.1 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 4.6 · L10 4.2 · med 4.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 3.0 · ceil 13.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2020 games
25%over
5 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 11%–47%Season33 games
48%over
16 over · 17 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–65%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 30/33 | ||
| 76% | 25/33 | ||
| 64% | 21/33 | ||
| 5.5Current | 48% | 16/33 | |
| 42% | 14/33 | ||
| 42% | 14/33 | ||
| 39% | 13/33 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%8/16Medium
Away47%8/17Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)33%2/6Low
1 day64%9/14Medium
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days13%1/8Medium
Last matchup — @ IND
Feb 26, 2026
22ndof 30 in PTS allowed to guards
IND allows 13.7 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 211 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tre Mann has gone over 5.5 PTS 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 48% across the full season. IND has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 22nd-most PTS of 30 teams (13.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.