
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Tyrese Martin has gone over 12.5 PRA in 2 of his last 10 decided games (20%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 21/33 | ||
| 61% | 20/33 | ||
| 52% | 17/33 | ||
| 12.5Current | 48% | 16/33 | |
| 45% | 15/33 | ||
| 42% | 14/33 | ||
| 33% | 11/33 |
Over 12.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
CLE allows 22.7 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 149 player-games
FavorableOver his last 10 games, Tyrese Martin has gone over 12.5 PRA 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 48% across the full season. CLE has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 8th-most PRA of 30 teams (22.7 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Assists hit rates and trends.
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Steals hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.