
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Tyrese Maxey has gone over 42.5 PRA in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 29/42 | ||
| 62% | 26/42 | ||
| 52% | 22/42 | ||
| 42.5Current | 48% | 20/42 | |
| 43% | 18/42 | ||
| 33% | 14/42 | ||
| 31% | 13/42 |
Over 42.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
IND allows 21.5 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 211 player-games
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Tyrese Maxey has gone over 42.5 PRA 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 48% across the full season. IND has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 13th-most PRA of 30 teams (21.5 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 8.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.
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Rebounds hit rates and trends.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.