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New Orleans PelicansYves Missi
#21 · C · 6-11 · 235 lb · 7 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 6 of these 7 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2024 · Rd 1, Pick 21
- College
- Baylor
- Country
- Cameroon
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 9.3 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutYves Missi isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee Bruise
- Est. return:
- Nov 9, 2026
Missi has been sidelined since picking up his injury Oct. 23. He remains without a timetable to return.
Verdict
vs 7.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 78% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line78supports it
Consistency17argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
11.9 PTS(×1.13 context)
L5 11.2 · L10 9.3 · med 8.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.2 · ceil 12.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 107 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Last 207 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Season7 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 6/7 | ||
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 7.5Current | 57% | 4/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 |
Situational splits
Over 7.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away0%0/1Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days100%3/3Low
Next matchup — @ LAC
Nov 9, 2026
10thof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
LAC allows 12.4 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 10 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 7 games, Yves Missi has gone over 7.5 PTS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. LAC has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 30 teams (12.4 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.