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Brooklyn NetsZiaire Williams Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Apr 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Ziaire Williams has gone over 17.5 PRA in 8 of his last 10 decided games (80%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2021 · Rd 1, Pick 10
- College
- Stanford
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 17.3 PRASave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 17.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 38% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)63supports it
Projection vs line38argues against it
Consistency46neutral
Projection
16.0 PRA(×0.91 context)
L5 19.0 · L10 19.4 · med 20.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.4 · ceil 22.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
65%over
13 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 43%–82%Season30 games
50%over
15 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–67%Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23/30 | ||
| 73% | 22/30 | ||
| 60% | 18/30 | ||
| 17.5Current | 50% | 15/30 | |
| 43% | 13/30 | ||
| 33% | 10/30 | ||
| 30% | 9/30 |
Situational splits
Over 17.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%9/15Medium
Away40%6/15Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day78%7/9Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days29%5/17Medium
Last matchup — vs CHA
Mar 31, 2026
30thof 30 in PRA allowed to forwards
CHA allows 20.0 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 170 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Ziaire Williams has gone over 17.5 PRA 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 50% across the full season. CHA has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 30th-most PRA of 30 teams (20.0 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Ziaire Williams research
Ziaire Williams — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Williams Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Williams Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Williams 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Williams Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.