New York Giants

Beaux Collins Receptions

Stats updated: Oct 26, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Beaux Collins has gone over 0.5 REC in 2 of his last 2 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Notre Dame
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceptions · season avg 1.0 REC · our line

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QuestionableConfirm Beaux Collins's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Hip Not Specified

Collins had been on IR all season before he was activated Saturday. He was designated to return Oct. 22 and was a full participant in all three practice sessions this week, though it's still not certain that he'll be active Sunday. If Collins does suit up, he'll be helping to replace the snaps vacated by depth wideout Zachariah Branch, who has been ruled out due to a hamstring injury.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RECReceptions

Hot overFireFactor 55/100· model 66% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line66supports it

Consistency100supports it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

1.0 REC(×0.96 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 52 games

100%over

2 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%

Last 102 games

100%over

2 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%

Last 202 games

100%over

2 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%

Season2 games

100%over

2 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%

Alternate lines — Receptions (REC)

REC over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	100%	2/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — REC per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away100%2/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%1/1Low

Next matchup — @ PHI

Nov 8, 2026

10thof 32 in REC allowed to wide receivers

PHI allows 3.6 REC per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 27 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 2 games, Beaux Collins has gone over 0.5 REC 2 of 2 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. PHI has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 10th-most REC of 32 teams (3.6 per game). His game-to-game REC have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.