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Cleveland BrownsBlake Whiteheart
#86 · TE · 6' 4" · 250 lb · 8 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 6 of these 8 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Wake Forest
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 4.4 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBlake Whiteheart isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Whiteheart played 27 of the Browns' 58 offensive snaps in Sunday's contest. The tight end also contributed on 15 special-teams snaps. Whiteheart is the second option at tight end behind Harold Fanin but plays a significant role in the team's run game.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 33% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it
Projection vs line33argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
6.7 REC YDS(×0.98 context)
L5 6.2 · L10 4.4 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 10.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 108 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Last 208 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Season8 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 38% | 3/8 | |
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days43%3/7Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
28thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
CAR allows 14.0 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 8 games, Blake Whiteheart has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 3 of 8 decided times (38%) — versus 38% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 28th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (14.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.