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San Francisco 49ersBrandin Cooks Targets
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brandin Cooks has gone over 3.5 TGT in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oregon State
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Line
Targets · season avg 3.8 TGT · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrandin Cooks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Cooks was in line to serve as the 49ers' top wide receiver for Week 7 due to the absences of Mike Evans (Achilles) and Deebo Samuel (hamstring). Cooks' 45 offensive snaps were second-most among 49ers wideouts behind Jordan Watkins (50), although the former had only once catch to show for his extra playing time, which didn't happen until the final minute of the fourth quarter. Cooks has three catches (on seven targets) for 33 yards and a touchdown over his last three games, but his role could shrink significantly following the 49ers' Week 8 bye depending on the statuses of Evans, Samuel Christian Kirk and Demarcus Robinson (ankle, IR).
Verdict
vs 3.5 TGTTargetsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 51% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency40argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
3.6 TGT(×1.02 context)
L5 3.6 · L10 3.8 · med 3.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 2.4 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)
TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 13/13 | ||
| 100% | 13/13 | ||
| 77% | 10/13 | ||
| 3.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 15% | 2/13 | ||
| 0% | 0/13 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away50%4/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%6/12Low
Next matchup — vs LV
Nov 8, 2026
18thof 32 in TGT allowed to wide receivers
LV allows 5.4 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 25 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brandin Cooks has gone over 3.5 TGT 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 54% across the full season. LV has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 18th-most TGT of 32 teams (5.4 per game). His game-to-game TGT have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.
More Brandin Cooks research
Brandin Cooks — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Cooks Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Cooks Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Cooks Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.