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Carolina PanthersBryce Young
#9 · QB · 5' 10" · 204 lb · 17 games
Stats updated: Jan 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 192.6 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 169.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency22argues against it
Projection
206.8 PASS YDS(×1.02 context)
L5 187.6 · L10 198.7 · med 180.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 126.8 · ceil 252.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2017 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Season17 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53% | 9/17 | ||
| 53% | 9/17 | ||
| 53% | 9/17 | ||
| 169.5Current | 47% | 8/17 | |
| 47% | 8/17 | ||
| 47% | 8/17 | ||
| 47% | 8/17 |
Situational splits
Over 169.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away33%3/9Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%8/16Medium
Last matchup — vs LAR
Jan 10, 2026
16thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
LAR allows 219.4 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 22 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Bryce Young has gone over 169.5 PASS YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. LAR has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 16th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (219.4 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 90.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.