
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Cam Skattebo has gone over 11.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
The Giants are coming off of their bye and preparing for the Eagles, and Skattebo was not available to practice as the week got underway. Skattebo tweaked his hamstring on his last carry of the game against the Texans in Week 7. His status in practice the remainder of the week will be crucial given the Giants' shorthandedness in the backfield. Devin Singletary and Greg Desrosiers are the healthy options at RB beyond Skattebo.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 11.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 |
Over 11.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
PHI allows 9.9 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
ToughOver his last 6 games, Cam Skattebo has gone over 11.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. PHI has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 23rd-most FS of 32 teams (9.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.