Atlanta Falcons

Cooper Rush Passing TDs

Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Cooper Rush has gone over 2.5 PASS TD in 0 of his last 5 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Central Michigan
Experience: 10 seasons

Line

pays more

PrizePicksPassing TDs · season avg 0.2 PASS TD · PrizePicks line

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PrizePicks payout options — Passing TDs (PASS TD)

Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.

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OutCooper Rush isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Rush's afternoon was about as difficult as his numbers suggest, and after he tossed his second interception of the day with 7:13 remaining in the third quarter, the veteran quarterback's day was done. Rookie replacement Jack Strand wasn't any better and tossed a pick-six during his time in the game, but if either Michael Penix (knee) or Tua Tagovailoa (oblique) is able to suit up for Thursday's Week 3 road matchup against the Packers, Rush may not necessarily be a shoo-in for No. 2 quarterback duties over his first-year teammate.

Verdict

vs 2.5 PASS TDPassing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it

Projection vs line9argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.2 PASS TD

L5 0.2 · L10 0.2 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.2

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 105 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 205 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Season5 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 5 games — PASS TD per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 PASS TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away0%0/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/4Low

Next matchup — @ GB

Sep 25, 2026

7thof 32 in PASS TD allowed to quarterbacks

GB allows 2.0 PASS TD per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Favorable

The read

Over his last 5 games, Cooper Rush has gone over 2.5 PASS TD 0 of 5 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. GB has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 7th-most PASS TD of 32 teams (2.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS TD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.