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New York GiantsDarius Slayton
#18 · WR · 6' 1" · 198 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Auburn
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 46.1 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDarius Slayton isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Slayton spent his first seven seasons with the Giants before he was cut Sept. 7. He posted a 50-770-4 receiving line across 17 games in 2023 but fell below 600 receiving yards in each of the subsequent two campaigns. The Colts will bring Slayton aboard to bolster their depth at receiver after Alec Pierce was diagnosed with a left heel issue that will sideline him for several weeks. Slayton could thus take on a significant role with his new squad, with Josh Downs, Keenan Allen, Ashton Dulin (ankle), Laquon Treadwell and Deion Burks making up the remainder of Indianapolis' receiving corps.
Verdict
vs 40.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency35argues against it
Projection
47.9 REC YDS(×1.07 context)
L5 50.6 · L10 44.6 · med 38.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 31.0 · ceil 61.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 40.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 |
Situational splits
Over 40.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%5/10Low
Next matchup — vs TEN
Sep 27, 2026
2ndof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
TEN allows 71.2 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Darius Slayton has gone over 40.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. TEN has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 2nd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (71.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 17.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.