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Los Angeles RamsDavante Adams Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Jan 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Davante Adams has gone over 15.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Fresno State
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 15.2 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 15.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 7/100· model 58% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency27argues against it
Projection
13.6 FS(×0.98 context)
L5 10.7 · L10 14.8 · med 15.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 8.1 · ceil 22.4
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2017 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Season17 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 53% | 9/17 | ||
| 15.5Current | 47% | 8/17 | |
| 41% | 7/17 | ||
| 41% | 7/17 | ||
| 41% | 7/17 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away50%5/10Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%8/16Medium
Last matchup — @ SEA
Jan 25, 2026
26thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
SEA allows 8.5 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Davante Adams has gone over 15.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. SEA has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 26th-most FS of 32 teams (8.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.
More Davante Adams research
Davante Adams — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Adams Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Adams Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Adams Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.