
#87 · TE · 6' 6" · 253 lb · 9 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 9 of these 9 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Allen exited early in the contest with a potential concussion, but the fact he returned to the contest indicates he was cleared by an independent neurologist. Allen should be ready to practice throughout Week 2 prep and suit up for next Monday night's game against the Giants.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 3.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
NYG allows 18.0 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughOver his last 9 games, Davis Allen has gone over 3.5 REC YDS 9 of 9 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NYG has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 23rd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (18.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 10.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.