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Minnesota VikingsDeeJay Dallas
#31 · RB · 5' 10" · 225 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Miami
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 2.3 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDeeJay Dallas isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Dallas will return to the active roster after playing in the first five contests of the year with the Vikings before being released and ultimately returning to the team as a member of the practice squad in late October. The running back has rushed four times for 14 yards and caught all four of his targets for 34 yards over seven contests with Minnesota this year, and he figures to operate in an extreme depth role behind Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason on Monday night versus Buffalo.
Verdict
vs 1.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
2.3 RUSH YDS(×1.03 context)
L5 2.8 · L10 2.3 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 4.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 1.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/2Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — vs BUF
Nov 10, 2026
20thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BUF allows 42.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, DeeJay Dallas has gone over 1.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. BUF has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (42.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.