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Baltimore RavensDevontez Walker
#81 · WR · 6' 1" · 198 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Jan 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- North Carolina
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 27.2 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDevontez Walker isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The 2024 fourth-round pick reportedly stood out as a field-stretcher during OTAs and mandatory minicamp, aiding his chances of earning a role behind Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman (personal). Baltimore added wide receivers Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt in the 2026 NFL Draft, along with rookie tight ends Matthew Hibner and Josh Cuevas, creating significant competition for targets. Walker has nonetheless flashed big-play ability in limited opportunities, turning seven career receptions into 157 yards and three touchdowns, providing reason for excitement if he does manage to make a leap in Year 3.
Verdict
vs 29.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency7argues against it
Projection
27.7 REC YDS
L5 27.2 · L10 27.2 · med 30.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 20.8 · ceil 36.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 29.5Current | 60% | 3/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days75%3/4Low
Last matchup — @ PIT
Jan 5, 2026
2ndof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
PIT allows 50.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 60 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Devontez Walker has gone over 29.5 REC YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. PIT has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 2nd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (50.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 15.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.