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Philadelphia EaglesDontayvion Wicks
#13 · WR · 6' 1" · 206 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Dec 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Virginia
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 41.3 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDontayvion Wicks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Wicks was acquired by the Eagles via a trade with Green Bay before Brown's departure, and he signed a new one-year, $12.5 million contract upon arrival. With Brown gone, DeVonta Smith remains the clear No. 1 receiver, while rookie first-round pick Makai Lemon (hamstring) and tight end Dallas Goedert are strong candidates to absorb additional targets. Still, Wicks' versatility has drawn attention, with head coach Nick Sirianni comparing him to Keenan Allen during mandatory minicamp. The 25-year-old could emerge as the favorite for the No. 3 receiver role over Hollywood Brown and Elijah Moore if he continues to impress and develops chemistry with Jalen Hurts during training camp.
Verdict
vs 35.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line39argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
46.0 REC YDS(×0.98 context)
L5 40.8 · L10 41.3 · med 35.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 21.0 · ceil 44.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 35.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 35.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%2/5Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jalen Hurts out+22.0 REC YDS when he sits
Without (3g)
52.3 REC YDS
67% over 35.5
With (3g)
30.3 REC YDS
33% over 35.5
Saquon Barkley out+22.0 REC YDS when he sits
Without (3g)
52.3 REC YDS
67% over 35.5
With (3g)
30.3 REC YDS
33% over 35.5
Last matchup — @ DET
Nov 27, 2025
7thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
DET allows 47.7 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 56 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 6 games, Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 35.5 REC YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. DET has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 7th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (47.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 25.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.