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Pittsburgh SteelersGermie Bernard
#17 · WR · 6' 1" · 206 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 35.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutGermie Bernard isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The rookie second-rounder operated as the WR3 due to the absence of Michael Pittman (foot). Aaron Rodgers struggled at Gillette Stadium, but Bernard did his part by leading the Steelers pass catchers in receiving yards while finishing second in catches behind Roman Wilson (five) and second in targets to DK Metcalf (nine). Pittman's status for Week 3 against the Bengals on Sept. 27 is up in the air, but even if he was ruled out, Bernard's production (along with the other Steelers pass catchers) will be capped unless Rodgers improves his play.
Verdict
vs 34.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line5argues against it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
32.2 REC YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 35.0 · L10 35.0 · med 35.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 35.0 · ceil 35.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 34.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 34.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs CIN
Sep 27, 2026
22ndof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CIN allows 39.6 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 7 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Germie Bernard has gone over 34.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 22nd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (39.6 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.