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Arizona CardinalsJacoby Brissett
#7 · QB · 6' 4" · 235 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- NC State
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 214.9 PASS YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutJacoby Brissett isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Brissett was set to become a free agent this offseason and was demoted from the starting role earlier this week, making him an expendable piece for the Cardinals, who will move forward with Gardner Minshew and Carson Beck as their quarterbacks. Baltimore, meanwhile, had a critical need for an experienced signal-caller after losing Lamar Jackson (thumb) and Tyler Huntley (foot) to injuries that will send both quarterbacks to injured reserve and potentially keep them out for the rest of the season, so Brissett will fill a void. Since the trade won't be made official for a few more days, Brissett won't be available for the Ravens' Thursday night game against the Jaguars. Undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano will direct the Baltimore offense against Jacksonville, but Brissett could step in as the Ravens' new starter beginning with a Week 10 matchup against the Chargers.
Verdict
vs 226.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency43neutral
Projection
189.0 PASS YDS(×0.91 context)
L5 213.4 · L10 214.9 · med 245.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 137.8 · ceil 278.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 108 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Last 208 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Season8 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Situational splits
Over 226.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days43%3/7Low
Next matchup — @ SEA
Nov 8, 2026
32ndof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
SEA allows 169.1 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 8 games, Jacoby Brissett has gone over 226.5 PASS YDS 4 of 8 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SEA has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 32nd-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (169.1 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 73.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
2 books @ 225.5 PASS YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.1%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.9%
Best Over
FanDuel-113
-5.7% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-113
-5.8% EV
Model vs market (over)-16.1%
Our model puts the over at 33.9% vs the market's no-vig 50.1%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (226.5 PASS YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.