Seattle Seahawks

Jadarian Price Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jadarian Price has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Notre Dame
Experience: Rookie

Line

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PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.0 RUSH TD · PrizePicks line

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QuestionableConfirm Jadarian Price's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Shoulder Not Specified

When Price was accompanied by team trainers to the locker room with his pads off during the fourth quarter Sunday, he was considered questionable to return due to a chest issue. Macdonald told Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle afterward that X-rays were returned negative, and additional comments from the head coach one day later indicate the rookie first-round pick may not miss any time. Ultimately, how Price fares in practice Wednesday through Friday will determine his availability for next Sunday's game at Washington. George Holani and Emanuel Wilson are the next players up in the Seahawks backfield.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it

Projection vs line9argues against it

Projection

0.0 RUSH TD(×1.02 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

small sample

Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 52 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 102 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 202 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Season2 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/1Low

Next matchup — @ WSH

Sep 27, 2026

24thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

WSH allows 0.0 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 2 games, Jadarian Price has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 24th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.