Seattle Seahawks

Jake Bobo Receptions

Stats updated: Jan 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jake Bobo has gone over 0.5 REC in 4 of his last 4 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: UCLA
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceptions · season avg 1.0 REC · our line

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QuestionableConfirm Jake Bobo's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Leg Not Specified

Per Bell, Bobo picked up the injury during Monday's session and was forced to leave early. The severity of the injury isn't clear, but getting back on the practice field is crucial for the fourth-year wideout, who is competing against Tory Horton and rookie sixth-rounder Emmanuel Henderson for the WR4 job behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rashid Shaheed and Cooper Kupp. Bobo split his snaps evenly between offense and special teams last year and finished the regular season with two catches (on as many targets) for 20 yards across 11 games. He also caught a 17-yard touchdown pass during the NFC Championship Game against the Rams.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RECReceptions

Hot overFireFactor 62/100· model 71% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line71supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

1.0 REC

L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 54 games

100%over

4 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%

Last 104 games

100%over

4 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%

Last 204 games

100%over

4 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%

Season4 games

100%over

4 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%

Alternate lines — Receptions (REC)

REC over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	100%	4/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4

Last 4 games — REC per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%3/3Low

Away100%1/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%3/3Low

Last matchup — vs LAR

Jan 25, 2026

7thof 32 in REC allowed to wide receivers

LAR allows 3.7 REC per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 64 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 4 games, Jake Bobo has gone over 0.5 REC 4 of 4 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 7th-most REC of 32 teams (3.7 per game). His game-to-game REC have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.