Loading…
Seattle SeahawksJalen Milroe Passing TDs
Stats updated: Oct 5, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jalen Milroe passing tds hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Passing TDs · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJalen Milroe isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Sam Darnold (glute) won't suit up in Week 2, meaning Drew Lock will be the team's starting signal-caller. Milroe will occupy the No. 2 spot on the depth chart, so head coach Mike Macdonald wants to be sure he is ready to go in case Lock gets injured.
Verdict
vs 0.5 PASS TDPassing TDsNo readFireFactor 0/100
Projection
— PASS TD
L5 — · L10 — · med —
Consistency
Variable
floor — · ceil —
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 50 games
—over
0 over · 0 under
No decided games at this lineLast 100 games
—over
0 over · 0 under
No decided games at this lineLast 200 games
—over
0 over · 0 under
No decided games at this lineSeason0 games
—over
0 over · 0 under
No decided games at this lineNo games to chart yet.
Next matchup — @ WSH
Sep 27, 2026
1stof 32 in PASS TD allowed to quarterbacks
WSH allows 3.5 PASS TD per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Jalen Milroe has no recent decided games against a 0.5 PASS TD line. WSH has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 1st-most PASS TD of 32 teams (3.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS TD have been variable (σ ≈ —), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.
More Jalen Milroe research
Jalen Milroe — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Milroe Completions→
Completions hit rates and trends.
Milroe Rushing Yards→
Rushing Yards hit rates and trends.
Milroe Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.