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Tennessee TitansJeffery Simmons
#98 · DT · 6' 4" · 305 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Dec 14, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Mississippi State
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 1.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJeffery Simmons isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Simmons underwent surgery during the offseason to address an issue with his elbow, but it doesn't seem to be limiting him now that training camp has started up. He's coming off his first All-Pro season and figures to play a massive role on Tennessee's defensive line in 2026.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
1.0 REC YDS
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ SF
Dec 14, 2025
9thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
SF allows 47.3 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 59 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 1 games, Jeffery Simmons has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. SF has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 9th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (47.3 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.